L’École des cotes

Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kamil Majchrzak (Local)

Prévision 27.94%3.58cote équitable
EV +1.42%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.538%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.94%27.96%29.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.353.6332.26%29.80%29.85%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.06%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -12.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.45%72.06%72.04%73.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.321.321.3378.13%75.89%75.76%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.63I 27.55%NM 26.67%EV +1.42%E +0.390%K +0.538%G +0.008%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.33%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 01:40
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.820%E -0.231%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 02:50
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.22%E -0.633%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 01:55
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -2.22%E -0.633%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:20
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -2.50%E -0.715%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 03:05
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 03:10
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.61%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 02:00
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.88%E -3.70%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 05:55
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 03:21
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.01%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.04%E -5.46%K -24.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 03:00
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:40
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 01:55
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 03:10
Fanatics3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 02:50
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 06:40
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.41%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:35
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 03:25
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 02:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 01:55
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.80%E -2.36%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 05:20
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 07:09
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.20%E -2.83%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-27 03:05
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -10.60%E -3.31%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.16%E -3.13%K -12.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 02:55
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -12.00%E -3.81%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 03:20
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.39%E -4.32%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-27 01:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-27 04:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-27 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-27 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-07-27 07:35
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-07-27 06:55