Idioma:Español
Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kamil Majchrzak (Local)
Predicción 23.96%4.17momio equitativo
EV +1.61%
Ventaja +0.379%
Kelly +0.496%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.63%24.05%23.81%26.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.954.2428.57%25.65%25.32%23.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 76.04%1.32momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -6.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.07%75.95%76.19%77.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.05%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kamil Majchrzak (Local): 23.96%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 76.04%. Para Kamil Majchrzak (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.17. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.24, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.61%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +0.887%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.86%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 03:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.48%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.91%E -1.48%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |