Lingua:Italiano
Kamil Majchrzak v Tommy Paul
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Kamil Majchrzak (Casa)
Previsione 23.96%4.17quota equa
EV +1.61%
Vantaggio +0.379%
Kelly +0.496%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.63%24.05%23.81%26.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.903.954.2428.57%25.65%25.32%23.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Tommy Paul (Trasferta)
Previsione 76.04%1.32quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -6.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.07%75.95%76.19%77.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.05%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Kamil Majchrzak (Casa): 23.96%; Tommy Paul (Trasferta): 76.04%. Per Kamil Majchrzak (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.17. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.24, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.61%.
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV +1.61%E +0.379%K +0.496%G +0.008% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.37%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +0.887%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.75%E -0.427%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -8.76%E -7.30%K -43.78%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-28 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -2.95%E -0.728%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-28 14:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 07:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:57 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.15%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -4.86%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.34%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.24%E -5.93%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.74%E -2.01%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 14:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 03:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 08:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.94%E -2.35%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.48%E -5.26%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-28 06:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.14%E -2.70%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 22:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.73%E -3.81%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.91%E -1.48%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.13%E -4.61%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 14:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-28 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-07-28 14:54 |