Language:English
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley
Head to Head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prediction 44.26%2.26fair odd
EV -0.425%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.340%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.40%44.16%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.122.2551.28%47.31%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Visit)
Prediction 55.74%1.79fair odd
EV +0.340%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.60%55.84%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.701.721.8063.29%58.78%58.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 44.26%; Jacob Fearnley (Visit): 55.74%. For Jacob Fearnley (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.80, producing a positive expected value of +0.340%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.340%E +0.189%K +0.425%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.340%E +0.189%K +0.425%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 04:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.70%E -7.03%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +0.340%E +0.189%K +0.425%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 05:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -10.60%E -5.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.33%E -0.753%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.74%E -2.69%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 06:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.00%E -1.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.56%E -2.06%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.12%E -2.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.68%E -2.73%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 03:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.23%E -3.08%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.85%E -2.26%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 02:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 06:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.79%E -3.43%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.39%E -4.05%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.35%E -3.78%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 03:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 06:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.46%E -4.50%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 04:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.02%E -4.86%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -3.52%E -1.62%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -8.58%E -5.23%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.425%E -0.189%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.64%E -1.20%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.69%E -5.98%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.25%E -6.37%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 06:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -6.62%E -3.14%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -10.81%E -6.76%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.81%E -6.76%K -18.01%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 05:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.28%E -4.53%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -11.92%E -7.55%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 06:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72% | 14.0% | 2026-09-01 06:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71% | 14.7% | 2026-09-01 06:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85% | 15.0% | 2026-09-01 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.15% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.85% | 15.0% | 2026-09-01 06:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 50.29% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 49.71% | 17.7% | 2026-09-01 06:25 |