Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

Inizio: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

Finale: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–1 Jacob Fearnley

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa)

Previsione 56.52%1.77quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%56.53%56.57%58.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.55%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.48%2.30quota equa
EV +0.869%
Vantaggio +0.374%
Kelly +0.658%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.10%43.47%43.43%45.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.082.182.172.3248.08%45.87%46.19%43.10%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Casa): 56.52%; Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta): 43.48%. Per Jacob Fearnley (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.30. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.32, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.869%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.869%E +0.374%K +0.658%G +0.006%2.6%2026-09-02 17:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 08:34
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 08:34
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:38
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 13:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-09-02 16:50
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15