預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

開賽時間: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

最終賽果: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–1 Jacob Fearnley

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

62 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (主隊)

預測 56.52%1.77公平賠率
EV -1.09%
優勢 -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.75

博彩公司預測分布
54.55%56.53%56.57%58.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.55%59.88%57.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Jacob Fearnley (客隊)

預測 43.48%2.30公平賠率
EV +0.869%
優勢 +0.374%
Kelly +0.658%
成長率 +0.006%

假設最高賠率為 2.32

博彩公司預測分布
41.10%43.47%43.43%45.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.082.182.172.3248.08%45.87%46.19%43.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Tomas Martin Etcheverry (主隊):56.52%;Jacob Fearnley (客隊):43.48%。 對於「Jacob Fearnley (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.30的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.32,對應+0.869%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (62 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.869%E +0.374%K +0.658%G +0.006%2.6%2026-09-02 17:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 08:34
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 08:34
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:38
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 13:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-09-02 16:50
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15