Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Prévision 44.56%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.897%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%44.82%44.65%48.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.122.2052.36%47.70%47.17%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.44%1.80cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.797%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.07%55.18%55.35%57.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.711.721.8363.29%58.34%58.14%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local) : 44.56% ; Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur) : 55.44%. Pour Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.80. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.83, pour une espérance positive de +1.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.89%E -7.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.46%E +0.797%K +1.76%G +0.026%7.0%2026-09-01 06:54
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:45
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 03:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:45
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 06:39
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -5.98%E -2.84%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 04:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 06:50
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-09-01 06:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%12.2%2026-09-01 06:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%14.0%2026-09-01 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:50
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 51.76%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.24%17.8%2026-09-01 06:51