Langue:Français
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prévision 56.52%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.55%56.53%56.57%58.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.55%59.88%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.48%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.869%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.658%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%43.47%43.43%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.082.182.172.3248.08%45.87%46.19%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local) : 56.52% ; Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur) : 43.48%. Pour Jacob Fearnley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.30. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.32, soit une espérance positive de +0.869%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.869%E +0.374%K +0.658%G +0.006% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 15:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 16:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 14:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 08:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 13:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 13:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 1.9% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69% | 2.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |