Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Previsão 44.56%2.24odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.897%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.41%44.82%44.65%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.102.122.2052.36%47.70%47.17%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jacob Fearnley (Visitante)

Previsão 55.44%1.80odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.797%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%55.18%55.35%57.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.581.711.721.8363.29%58.34%58.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 44.56%; Jacob Fearnley (Visitante): 55.44%. Para Jacob Fearnley (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.80. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.83, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.89%E -7.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.46%E +0.797%K +1.76%G +0.026%7.0%2026-09-01 06:54
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:45
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 03:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:45
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 06:39
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -5.98%E -2.84%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 04:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 06:50
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-09-01 06:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%12.2%2026-09-01 06:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%14.0%2026-09-01 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:50
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 51.76%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.24%17.8%2026-09-01 06:51