StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

Slutresultat: Tomas Martin Etcheverry 3–1 Jacob Fearnley

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma)

Prognos 56.52%1.77rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.621%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.55%56.53%56.57%58.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.571.681.671.7563.69%59.55%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jacob Fearnley (Borta)

Prognos 43.48%2.30rättvist odds
EV +0.869%
Fördel +0.374%
Kelly +0.658%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.10%43.47%43.43%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.082.182.172.3248.08%45.87%46.19%43.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma): 56.52%; Jacob Fearnley (Borta): 43.48%. För Jacob Fearnley (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.30. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.32, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.869%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.869%E +0.374%K +0.658%G +0.006%2.6%2026-09-02 17:05
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.43%E -5.21%K -13.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -9.00%E -5.59%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -0.436%E -0.190%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.87%E -4.83%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.26%E -7.17%K -19.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.17%E -0.967%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-02 17:00
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -2.61%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:14
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -7.30%E -4.45%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -3.04%E -1.37%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.48%E -1.57%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:09
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:35
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.17%E -3.72%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.35%E -1.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.22%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 08:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 08:34
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.08%K -10.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:00
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -6.96%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.39%E -3.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -1.65%E -0.949%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 08:34
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -7.83%E -3.69%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 07:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -8.26%E -3.92%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 14:40
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:10
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 13:38
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.91%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.70%E -4.14%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -5.04%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -9.57%E -4.60%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 13:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-09-02 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-02 17:10
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-09-02 16:50
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%2.3%2026-09-02 17:15