StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Jacob Fearnley

2026-09-02 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma)

Prognos 44.56%2.24rättvist odds
EV -1.97%
Fördel -0.897%
Kelly -1.64%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.41%44.82%44.65%48.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.102.122.2052.36%47.70%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jacob Fearnley (Borta)

Prognos 55.44%1.80rättvist odds
EV +1.46%
Fördel +0.797%
Kelly +1.76%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.07%55.18%55.35%57.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.581.711.721.8363.29%58.34%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Hemma): 44.56%; Jacob Fearnley (Borta): 55.44%. För Jacob Fearnley (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.80. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 1.83, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +1.46%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.89%E -7.80%K -16.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.46%E +0.797%K +1.76%G +0.026%7.0%2026-09-01 06:54
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 06:54
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 04:25
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -13.11%E -6.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -0.204%E -0.113%K -0.255%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 05:45
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -5.09%E -2.39%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 06:45
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 06:45
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.98%E -1.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 06:55
DraftKings🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -3.53%E -2.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 06:40
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.09%E -2.36%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.64%E -2.70%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:40
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -5.19%E -3.04%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 06:55
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 03:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 06:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.75%E -3.38%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:45
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 02:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.30%E -3.73%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -7.77%E -3.75%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.86%E -4.08%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 06:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.20%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.41%E -4.44%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 06:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.97%E -4.80%K -12.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 06:45
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -5.54%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -8.52%E -5.16%K -13.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -2.86%E -1.31%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -9.07%E -5.53%K -14.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 06:40
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.97%E -0.897%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.18%E -6.29%K -16.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 06:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -7.32%E -3.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -10.74%E -6.67%K -17.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 06:39
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.13%EV -5.98%E -2.84%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-01 06:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -6.43%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -11.29%E -7.06%K -18.82%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 05:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.66%E -4.22%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -12.40%E -7.85%K -21.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 04:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-01 06:50
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-09-01 06:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 43.25%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%12.2%2026-09-01 06:40
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%14.0%2026-09-01 06:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.29%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.71%14.7%2026-09-01 06:50
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 51.76%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.24%17.8%2026-09-01 06:51