Language:English
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Prediction 70.10%1.43fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 29.90%3.34fair odd
EV +4.07%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 70.10%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 29.90%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |