Język:Polski
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 70.10%1.43kurs godziwy
EV -1.87%
Przewaga -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Adrian Mannarino (Goście)
Prognoza 29.90%3.34kurs godziwy
EV +4.07%
Przewaga +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Wzrost +0.067%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.48
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Gospodarze): 70.10%; Adrian Mannarino (Goście): 29.90%. Dla wyniku Adrian Mannarino (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.34. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.48, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.07%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |