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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Хозяева)
Прогноз 70.10%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.87%
Преимущество -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Adrian Mannarino (Гости)
Прогноз 29.90%3.34справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.07%
Преимущество +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Рост +0.067%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.48
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Хозяева): 70.10%; Adrian Mannarino (Гости): 29.90%. Для исхода «Adrian Mannarino (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.34. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.48, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.07%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (60 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (8)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |