Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino

2026-08-30 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 65.70%1.52quota equa
EV -0.798%
Vantaggio -0.529%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.14%65.66%65.71%66.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.441.431.5172.99%69.68%69.93%66.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.30%2.92quota equa
EV -1.55%
Vantaggio -0.540%
Kelly -0.828%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.02%34.34%34.29%35.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.762.802.8740.82%36.23%35.71%34.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa): 65.70%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 34.30%. Per Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 1.52. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 1.51, con un valore atteso del -0.798%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.39%EV -0.798%E -0.529%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.61%EV -6.35%E -2.33%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-27 22:00
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 65.68%EV -1.46%E -0.970%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.32%EV -1.55%E -0.540%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-28 01:20
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.74%E -3.27%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-27 22:00
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.32%E -1.93%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 22:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:00
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 22:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.40%E -3.75%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:00
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 22:01
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.95%E -1.41%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-27 23:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.67%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.05%E -4.23%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 23:33
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.71%E -4.73%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.10%E -3.43%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-27 23:30
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -8.68%E -6.25%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -3.26%E -1.16%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 00:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.14%EV -10.00%E -7.30%K -27.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -15.96%E -6.51%K -11.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-27 23:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%6.0%2026-08-28 00:50