Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino

Inizio: 2026-08-30 20:23 UTC

Finale: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–3 Adrian Mannarino

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa)

Previsione 70.10%1.43quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.90%3.34quota equa
EV +4.07%
Vantaggio +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Crescita +0.067%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Casa): 70.10%; Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta): 29.90%. Per Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.34. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.48, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.07%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067%1.7%2026-08-30 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012%6.3%2026-08-30 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003%4.9%2026-08-30 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 20:05
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 08:45
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:54
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:04
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 20:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-30 20:10
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93%2.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-30 20:15