StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-30 20:23 UTC

Endstand: Thiago Agustin Tirante 2–3 Adrian Mannarino

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim)

Prognose 70.10%1.43faire Quote
EV -1.87%
Vorteil -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts)

Prognose 29.90%3.34faire Quote
EV +4.07%
Vorteil +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
Wachstum +0.067%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.48

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim): 70.10%; Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts): 29.90%. Für Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.34. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.48 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.07%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067%1.7%2026-08-30 20:15
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012%6.3%2026-08-30 20:15
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003%4.9%2026-08-30 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 20:05
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 20:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 08:45
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 20:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 20:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 20:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:54
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 20:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 17:45
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:40
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 20:04
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 20:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-30 20:15
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-30 20:10
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Novig◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93%2.0%2026-08-30 20:15
Smarkets◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-08-30 20:15