语言:简体中文
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Adrian Mannarino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)
预测 70.10%1.43公平赔率
EV -1.87%
优势 -1.33%
Kelly -4.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
67.44%70.12%70.02%72.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.95%74.07%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adrian Mannarino (客队)
预测 29.90%3.34公平赔率
EV +4.07%
优势 +1.17%
Kelly +1.64%
增长率 +0.067%
假设最高赔率为 3.48
博彩公司预测分布
27.66%29.88%29.98%32.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.193.203.4834.48%31.36%31.25%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Thiago Agustin Tirante (主队)：70.10%；Adrian Mannarino (客队)：29.90%。 对于“Adrian Mannarino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.48，对应+4.07%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.75%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 28.25%EV +4.07%E +1.17%K +1.64%G +0.067% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.88%E -6.83%K -29.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.68%E +0.493%K +0.698%G +0.012% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.70%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV +0.779%E +0.231%K +0.329%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV +0.181%E +0.054%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.31%E -0.398%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.91%E -0.583%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -2.21%E -0.676%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 08:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.81%E -0.864%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.07%E -4.53%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -3.71%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.30%E -1.35%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.50%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.97%E -2.90%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.80%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.73%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.27%EV -7.00%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.77%E -5.09%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 15:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.47%E -5.66%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.30%E -2.35%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.27%E -2.37%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.37%E -3.98%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -8.79%E -2.88%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.67%E -3.43%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.29%E -3.43%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.87%E -1.33%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.28%E -4.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 20:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.07% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.93% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 20:15 |