Language:English
Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prediction 88.99%1.12fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bu Yunchaokete (Visit)
Prediction 11.01%9.08fair odd
EV +10.15%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.114%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rafael Jodar (Local): 88.99%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visit): 11.01%. For Bu Yunchaokete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.08. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 15:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |