Langue:Français
Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Prévision 88.99%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Bu Yunchaokete (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.01%9.08cote équitable
EV +10.15%
Avantage +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.114%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rafael Jodar (Local) : 88.99% ; Bu Yunchaokete (Visiteur) : 11.01%. Pour Bu Yunchaokete (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 9.08. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.00, soit une espérance positive de +10.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 15:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |