语言:简体中文
Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Rafael Jodar (主队)
预测 88.99%1.12公平赔率
EV -3.01%
优势 -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.09
博彩公司预测分布
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bu Yunchaokete (客队)
预测 11.01%9.08公平赔率
EV +10.15%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.114%
假设最高赔率为 10.00
博彩公司预测分布
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Rafael Jodar (主队)：88.99%；Bu Yunchaokete (客队)：11.01%。 对于“Bu Yunchaokete (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.08。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为10.00，对应+10.15%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 15:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |