Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete

Inizio: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

Finale: Rafael Jodar 0–3 Bu Yunchaokete

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Rafael Jodar (Casa)

Previsione 88.99%1.12quota equa
EV -3.01%
Vantaggio -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bu Yunchaokete (Trasferta)

Previsione 11.01%9.08quota equa
EV +10.15%
Vantaggio +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Crescita +0.114%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Rafael Jodar (Casa): 88.99%; Bu Yunchaokete (Trasferta): 11.01%. Per Bu Yunchaokete (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 9.08. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 10.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.15%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114%6.2%2026-09-02 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025%4.0%2026-09-02 08:40
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015%4.1%2026-09-02 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008%3.3%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:09
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:05
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 06:40
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:15
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 08:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 05:30
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:31
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:40
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 07:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:04
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 08:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 13:55
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 15:06
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-09-02 17:15