Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete

Początek: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Rafael Jodar 0–3 Bu Yunchaokete

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 88.99%1.12kurs godziwy
EV -3.01%
Przewaga -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Bu Yunchaokete (Goście)

Prognoza 11.01%9.08kurs godziwy
EV +10.15%
Przewaga +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Wzrost +0.114%

przy maksymalnym kursie 10.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Rafael Jodar (Gospodarze): 88.99%; Bu Yunchaokete (Goście): 11.01%. Dla wyniku Bu Yunchaokete (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 9.08. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 10.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +10.15%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114%6.2%2026-09-02 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025%4.0%2026-09-02 08:40
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015%4.1%2026-09-02 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008%3.3%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:09
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:05
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 06:40
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:15
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 08:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 05:30
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:31
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:40
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 07:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:04
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 08:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 13:55
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 15:06
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-09-02 17:15