Idioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 88.99%1.12momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bu Yunchaokete (Visitante)
Predicción 11.01%9.08momio equitativo
EV +10.15%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.114%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rafael Jodar (Local): 88.99%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visitante): 11.01%. Para Bu Yunchaokete (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.08. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +10.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015% | 4.1% | 2026-09-02 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008% | 3.3% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 07:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 17:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 06:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 22:16 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 05:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 08:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 08:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-09-02 15:06 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 2.6% | 2026-09-02 17:15 |