StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar v Bu Yunchaokete

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 17:16 UTC

Endstand: Rafael Jodar 0–3 Bu Yunchaokete

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Rafael Jodar (Heim)

Prognose 88.99%1.12faire Quote
EV -3.01%
Vorteil -2.76%
Kelly -33.40%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
87.41%88.91%88.91%90.58%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.071.071.0996.15%93.43%93.46%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bu Yunchaokete (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.01%9.08faire Quote
EV +10.15%
Vorteil +1.01%
Kelly +1.13%
Wachstum +0.114%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.42%11.09%11.09%12.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.508.318.2910.0013.33%12.03%12.06%10.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Rafael Jodar (Heim): 88.99%; Bu Yunchaokete (Auswärts): 11.01%. Für Bu Yunchaokete (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.08. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +10.15%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -7.46%E -7.17%K -186.38%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +10.15%E +1.01%K +1.13%G +0.114%6.2%2026-09-02 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +4.64%E +0.488%K +0.546%G +0.025%4.0%2026-09-02 08:40
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +3.54%E +0.376%K +0.421%G +0.015%4.1%2026-09-02 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.62%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.32I 10.73%NM 10.38%EV +2.66%E +0.285%K +0.319%G +0.008%3.3%2026-09-02 17:15
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV +2.44%E +0.262%K +0.294%G +0.007%5.1%2026-09-01 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 22:15
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:15
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.57%E -6.25%K -131.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -0.868%E -0.096%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:09
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -1.09%E -0.121%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-02 17:05
GTbets🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.01%E -2.76%K -33.40%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV -1.97%E -0.221%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -3.07%E -0.349%K -0.394%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 06:40
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -3.62%E -0.414%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -4.17%E -0.480%K -0.542%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.75%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.25%EV -6.16%E -0.722%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:15
Sky Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 22:16
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.38%E -0.750%K -0.850%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -6.71%E -0.792%K -0.898%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -7.48%E -0.890%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:55
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.68%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.32%EV -8.58%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:15
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.57%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.29I 12.06%NM 11.43%EV -8.69%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -9.13%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -9.68%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 17:10
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:10
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 08:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 05:30
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 14:31
betfred_uk🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 13:40
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 07:36
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.88%E -1.49%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -14.64%E -1.89%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 17:10
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:04
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.90%E -3.61%K -48.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 08:00
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.79%E -4.47%K -68.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.68%E -5.35%K -94.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -17.39%E -2.32%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 08:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 13:55
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-09-02 15:06
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-02 17:10
Smarkets◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-09-02 17:10
ProphetX◎1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59%2.6%2026-09-02 17:15