Language:English
Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV +0.811%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visit)
Prediction 72.38%1.38fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marin Cilic (Local): 27.62%; Andrey Rublev (Visit): 72.38%. For Andrey Rublev (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 18:23 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 28.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |