Idioma:Español
Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marin Cilic (Local)
Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV +0.811%
Ventaja +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Andrey Rublev (Visitante)
Predicción 72.38%1.38momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marin Cilic (Local): 27.62%; Andrey Rublev (Visitante): 72.38%. Para Andrey Rublev (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.38. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.33%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 18:23 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 28.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |