Langue:Français
Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV +0.811%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Andrey Rublev (Visiteur)
Prévision 72.38%1.38cote équitable
EV +1.33%
Avantage +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
Croissance +0.044%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Marin Cilic (Local) : 27.62% ; Andrey Rublev (Visiteur) : 72.38%. Pour Andrey Rublev (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.38. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.33%.
Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 18:23 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 28.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |