Język:Polski
Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marin Cilic (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 27.62%3.62kurs godziwy
EV +0.811%
Przewaga +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
Wzrost +0.002%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Andrey Rublev (Goście)
Prognoza 72.38%1.38kurs godziwy
EV +1.33%
Przewaga +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
Wzrost +0.044%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Marin Cilic (Gospodarze): 27.62%; Andrey Rublev (Goście): 72.38%. Dla wyniku Andrey Rublev (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.38. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 1.40, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +1.33%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 18:23 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 28.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |