StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev

Matchstart: 2026-08-31 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marin Cilic (Hemma)

Prognos 27.62%3.62rättvist odds
EV +0.811%
Fördel +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.65

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andrey Rublev (Borta)

Prognos 72.38%1.38rättvist odds
EV +1.33%
Fördel +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
Tillväxt +0.044%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marin Cilic (Hemma): 27.62%; Andrey Rublev (Borta): 72.38%. För Andrey Rublev (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.38. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.33%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044%7.1%2026-08-30 17:34
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-30 17:50
GTbets🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 12:04
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-30 17:40
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 11:00
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 17:35
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 17:40
SportsBet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 15:20
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 12:05
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 00:01
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 10:55
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 10:55
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 15:35
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 17:50
Betsson🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:35
NordicBet🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 15:35
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 15:20
DraftKings🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 02:15
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 15:35
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 06:54
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:30
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:51
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 10:30
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 14:55
ReBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 15:20
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 11:00
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 10:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 10:54
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:20
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 17:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:14
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 18:35
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-29 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Kalshi◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-30 17:30
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-08-30 17:29
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%3.2%2026-08-30 17:45
ProphetX◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%3.7%2026-08-30 18:23
Novig◎3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17%1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83%28.5%2026-08-30 18:25