语言:简体中文
Marin Cilic v Andrey Rublev
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Marin Cilic (主队)
预测 27.62%3.62公平赔率
EV +0.811%
优势 +0.222%
Kelly +0.306%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.65
博彩公司预测分布
26.11%27.66%27.58%33.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.463.443.6535.71%28.93%29.07%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
Andrey Rublev (客队)
预测 72.38%1.38公平赔率
EV +1.33%
优势 +0.952%
Kelly +3.33%
增长率 +0.044%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
66.67%72.34%72.42%73.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.261.311.311.4079.37%76.28%76.34%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Marin Cilic (主队)：27.62%；Andrey Rublev (客队)：72.38%。 对于“Andrey Rublev (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.38。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.40，对应+1.33%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -22.67%E -8.09%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +1.33%E +0.952%K +3.33%G +0.044% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%EV -2.29%E -1.69%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -1.40%E -0.392%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-29 12:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.01%E -2.25%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.258%E +0.071%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-29 15:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -7.20%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 00:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.73%E -2.81%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -7.75%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.63%EV -9.13%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.37%EV -4.46%E -3.38%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.99%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.47%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.18%E -3.96%K -16.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 06:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.33%E -0.952%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 18:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.71%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 14:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -8.30%E -2.50%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.86%E -2.68%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.91%E -4.54%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 10:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV +0.811%E +0.222%K +0.306%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.570%E -0.158%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 13:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.09%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.63%E -5.14%K -22.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.95%E -0.550%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -8.80%E -6.98%K -33.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 2.0% | 2026-08-30 17:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 18:23 |
| Novig◎ | 3.51I 28.49%NM 22.17% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 77.83% | 28.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |