Language:English
Luciano Darderi v Dalibor Svrcina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prediction 56.81%1.76fair odd
EV +0.556%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%56.83%56.85%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.681.681.7762.89%59.69%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dalibor Svrcina (Visit)
Prediction 43.19%2.32fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%43.17%43.15%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.66%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luciano Darderi (Local): 56.81%; Dalibor Svrcina (Visit): 43.19%. For Dalibor Svrcina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.79%E +1.17%K +2.02%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |