Język:Polski
Luciano Darderi v Dalibor Svrcina
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 56.81%1.76kurs godziwy
EV +0.556%
Przewaga +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Wzrost +0.004%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.77
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.26%56.83%56.85%59.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.591.681.681.7762.89%59.69%59.52%56.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Dalibor Svrcina (Goście)
Prognoza 43.19%2.32kurs godziwy
EV +2.79%
Przewaga +1.17%
Kelly +2.02%
Wzrost +0.056%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.05%43.17%43.15%45.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.66%45.45%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Luciano Darderi (Gospodarze): 56.81%; Dalibor Svrcina (Goście): 43.19%. Dla wyniku Dalibor Svrcina (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.32. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.38, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.79%E +1.17%K +2.02%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |