Lingua:Italiano
Luciano Darderi v Dalibor Svrcina
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luciano Darderi (Casa)
Previsione 56.81%1.76quota equa
EV +0.556%
Vantaggio +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Crescita +0.004%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.26%56.83%56.85%59.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.591.681.681.7762.89%59.69%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Dalibor Svrcina (Trasferta)
Previsione 43.19%2.32quota equa
EV +2.79%
Vantaggio +1.17%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescita +0.056%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.05%43.17%43.15%45.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.66%45.45%42.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Luciano Darderi (Casa): 56.81%; Dalibor Svrcina (Trasferta): 43.19%. Per Dalibor Svrcina (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.32. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.38, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.79%.
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.79%E +1.17%K +2.02%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (8)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |