預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi v Dalibor Svrcina

開賽時間: 2026-09-03 15:04 UTC

最終賽果: Luciano Darderi 3–1 Dalibor Svrcina

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

65 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Luciano Darderi (主隊)

預測 56.81%1.76公平賠率
EV +0.556%
優勢 +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 1.77

博彩公司預測分布
54.26%56.83%56.85%59.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.591.681.681.7762.89%59.69%59.52%56.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Dalibor Svrcina (客隊)

預測 43.19%2.32公平賠率
EV +2.79%
優勢 +1.17%
Kelly +2.02%
成長率 +0.056%

假設最高賠率為 2.38

博彩公司預測分布
40.05%43.17%43.15%45.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.66%45.45%42.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Luciano Darderi (主隊):56.81%;Dalibor Svrcina (客隊):43.19%。 對於「Dalibor Svrcina (客隊)」,該估計相當於2.32的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.38,對應+2.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (65 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.79%E +1.17%K +2.02%G +0.056%4.9%2026-09-03 14:55
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 23:50
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 14:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 09:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 14:21
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 10:20
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:51
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 09:06
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 13:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 12:59
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:15
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:24
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 23:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:50
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 09:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 10:15
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 09:00
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:15
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:55
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 10:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 09:30
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-03 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 09:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 14:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-03 14:55
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-09-03 14:55
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-09-03 14:55