Langue:Français
Luciano Darderi v Dalibor Svrcina
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luciano Darderi (Local)
Prévision 56.81%1.76cote équitable
EV +0.556%
Avantage +0.314%
Kelly +0.722%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%56.83%56.85%59.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.681.681.7762.89%59.69%59.52%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.19%2.32cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +2.02%
Croissance +0.056%
avec la cote maximale 2.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.05%43.17%43.15%45.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3847.62%45.66%45.45%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Luciano Darderi (Local) : 56.81% ; Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur) : 43.19%. Pour Dalibor Svrcina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.32. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.38, soit une espérance positive de +2.79%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.67%E -6.08%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.79%E +1.17%K +2.02%G +0.056% | 4.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -5.69%E -3.43%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -1.10%E -0.479%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -1.53%E -0.671%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.85%E -1.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.83%E -1.26%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-02 09:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.73%EV -6.83%E -4.16%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.27%EV -3.26%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 14:21 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.69%E -1.65%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.12%E -1.86%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-03 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.55%E -2.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 08:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 09:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 12:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 23:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:51 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.99%E -2.27%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.85%E -2.68%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.56%E -2.71%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 13:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -6.28%E -2.89%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.99%E -2.36%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 10:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.97%E -4.92%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.14%E -3.32%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.42%E -2.01%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.26%E -3.79%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -8.44%E -3.98%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +0.556%E +0.314%K +0.722%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.12%E -3.07%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.30%E -4.43%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 0.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |