Language:English
Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp
Head to Head
Jan Choinski (Local)
Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV +14.45%
Edge +3.24%
Kelly +4.18%
Growth +0.603%
assuming max odds 4.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%25.52%25.58%27.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.663.504.4630.30%27.35%28.57%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 74.34%1.35fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.77%74.48%74.42%77.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.281.301.3283.33%78.42%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jan Choinski (Local): 25.66%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 74.34%. For Jan Choinski (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.46, producing a positive expected value of +14.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 22.03%EV +14.45%E +3.24%K +4.18%G +0.603% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.97%EV -6.33%E -5.03%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV +6.49%E +1.56%K +2.06%G +0.134% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -10.79%E -8.99%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.661%K +0.882%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +2.65%E +0.661%K +0.882%G +0.023% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV +0.079%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -7.08%E -5.66%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.079%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +0.079%E +0.020%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -9.31%E -7.63%K -42.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -2.49%E -0.654%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.77%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.08%E -5.66%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 23:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.82%E -6.31%K -32.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 23:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -8.56%E -6.96%K -37.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-27 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.34%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.59%E -4.40%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -7.11%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.28%EV -1.87%E -1.42%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.85%E -3.79%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -8.13%E -2.27%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -4.10%E -3.18%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.62%E -2.00%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 22:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.19%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.36%E -2.58%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.32%E -4.64%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.33%EV -10.79%E -8.99%K -53.97%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-27 23:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91% | 12.7% | 2026-08-27 23:35 |
Arbitrage (20 combinations) +1.85%1xBet 4.46 (22.8%) / GTbets 1.32 (77.2%)Show all 20 combinations
| Jan Choinski (Local) | Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.8%) | GTbets🎯 1.32 (77.2%) | +1.85% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.7%) | Hard Rock Bet🎯 1.31 (77.3%) | +1.26% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Unibet🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | LiveScore Bet🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | TABtouch🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | 888sport🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Casumo🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | PMU (FR)🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Grosvenor🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Virgin Bet🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Svenska Spel🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Bally Bet🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | ATG (SE)🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | betPARX🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | BetRivers🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.6%) | Mr Green (SE)🎯 1.30 (77.4%) | +0.660% |
| SportsBet🎯 4.15 (24.1%) | GTbets🎯 1.32 (75.9%) | +0.146% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.4%) | Betway🎯 1.29 (77.6%) | +0.059% |
| 1xBet🎯 4.46 (22.4%) | DraftKings🎯 1.29 (77.6%) | +0.059% |