Language:English
Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan Choinski (Local)
Prediction 24.36%4.11fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +0.830%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.45%24.36%24.51%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.533.873.854.2528.33%25.82%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)
Prediction 75.64%1.32fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -8.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.16%75.64%75.49%77.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan Choinski (Local): 24.36%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 75.64%. For Jan Choinski (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 04:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |