Język:Polski
Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Jan Choinski (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 24.36%4.11kurs godziwy
EV +3.53%
Przewaga +0.830%
Kelly +1.09%
Wzrost +0.038%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.45%24.36%24.51%25.84%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.533.873.854.2528.33%25.82%25.97%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Goście)
Prognoza 75.64%1.32kurs godziwy
EV -2.42%
Przewaga -1.88%
Kelly -8.36%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.29
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
74.16%75.64%75.49%77.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jan Choinski (Gospodarze): 24.36%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Goście): 75.64%. Dla wyniku Jan Choinski (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.11. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.53%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 04:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |