Langue:Français
Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jan Choinski (Local)
Prévision 24.36%4.11cote équitable
EV +3.53%
Avantage +0.830%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.45%24.36%24.51%25.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.533.873.854.2528.33%25.82%25.97%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.64%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -8.36%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.16%75.64%75.49%77.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jan Choinski (Local) : 24.36% ; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur) : 75.64%. Pour Jan Choinski (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.53%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 04:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |