StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp

Matchstart: 2026-09-02 16:38 UTC

Slutresultat: Jan Choinski 0–3 Botic van de Zandschulp

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan Choinski (Hemma)

Prognos 24.36%4.11rättvist odds
EV +3.53%
Fördel +0.830%
Kelly +1.09%
Tillväxt +0.038%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.45%24.36%24.51%25.84%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.533.873.854.2528.33%25.82%25.97%23.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Borta)

Prognos 75.64%1.32rättvist odds
EV -2.42%
Fördel -1.88%
Kelly -8.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.29

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
74.16%75.64%75.49%77.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jan Choinski (Hemma): 24.36%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Borta): 75.64%. För Jan Choinski (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.11. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.25, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.53%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:35
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:40
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:10
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:35
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 13:20
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:31
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 04:45
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:34
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 04:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 07:15
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 10:35
DraftKings🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 09:15
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:26
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:34
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 06:15
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 05:25
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:29
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 16:30
NordicBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:35
Betsson🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-09-02 16:35
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-09-02 16:35
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-09-02 16:35
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-09-02 16:35