Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jan Choinski (Casa): 24.36%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta): 75.64%. Per Jan Choinski (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.11. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.53%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-02 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-01 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 04:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-01 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-02 13:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 14:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 04:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 04:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 07:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-02 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 00:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 14:26 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-02 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 06:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 08:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 05:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 16:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-02 16:30 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 1.3% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-09-02 16:35 |