StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jan Choinski v Botic van de Zandschulp

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-02 16:38 UTC

Endstand: Jan Choinski 0–3 Botic van de Zandschulp

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jan Choinski (Heim)

Prognose 24.36%4.11faire Quote
EV +3.53%
Vorteil +0.830%
Kelly +1.09%
Wachstum +0.038%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.45%24.36%24.51%25.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.533.873.854.2528.33%25.82%25.97%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Auswärts)

Prognose 75.64%1.32faire Quote
EV -2.42%
Vorteil -1.88%
Kelly -8.36%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
74.16%75.64%75.49%77.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jan Choinski (Heim): 24.36%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Auswärts): 75.64%. Für Jan Choinski (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.11. 6 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +3.53%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +3.53%E +0.830%K +1.09%G +0.038%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 23:35
Pinnacle🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%EV +2.55%E +0.607%K +0.796%G +0.020%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.97%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-02 15:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 22:40
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.31%E +0.550%K +0.722%G +0.017%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 15:10
FanDuel🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV +1.09%E +0.263%K +0.347%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:35
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -0.125%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 13:20
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:30
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 14:31
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-31 04:45
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 13:34
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 04:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.56%E -0.640%K -0.854%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 07:15
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.78%E -0.957%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.00%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 15:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.22%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 10:35
DraftKings🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 09:15
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.43%E -1.96%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:26
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.42%E -1.88%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 16:34
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 07:45
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 06:15
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 08:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.65%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.45%E -4.36%K -21.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 05:25
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -8.89%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.18%E -2.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:29
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.94%E -3.10%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 16:30
Fliff🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -9.87%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -7.72%E -6.33%K -35.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 16:30
NordicBet🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:35
Betsson🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 25.56%EV -10.60%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.44%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -11.09%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.21%E -5.00%K -25.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.84%EV -14.01%E -3.97%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.16%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-02 16:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-09-02 16:35
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-09-02 16:35
Kalshi◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-09-02 16:35
ProphetX◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-09-02 16:35
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%1.3%2026-09-02 16:35
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-09-02 16:35