Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV +0.613%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -0.708%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 60.54%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.613%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 13:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |