Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo

Início: 2026-09-03 15:07 UTC

Final: Jan-Lennard Struff 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Previsão 39.46%2.53odd justa
EV +0.613%
Vantagem +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 60.54%1.65odd justa
EV -0.708%
Vantagem -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 60.54%. Para Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.53. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.613%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:26
ReBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:49
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 12:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 13:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:31
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:30
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 13:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:24
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-03 14:55