Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo

2026-09-03 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Previsão 37.89%2.64odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.569%
Kelly -0.924%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.95%37.87%37.97%39.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.492.502.6043.48%40.23%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)

Previsão 62.11%1.61odd justa
EV -3.73%
Vantagem -2.41%
Kelly -6.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.26%62.13%62.03%63.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.461.521.531.5568.49%65.76%65.36%64.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 37.89%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 62.11%. Para Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.60, com valor esperado de -1.48%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.48%E -0.569%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-01 23:50
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.48%E -0.569%K -0.924%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 01:30
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -1.86%E -0.717%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -2.99%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 23:50
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.35%E -2.83%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 23:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.37%E -1.32%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 02:00
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.35%E -2.83%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:25
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -3.75%E -1.48%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-01 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 23:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 04:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 02:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.98%E -3.25%K -9.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.27%E -2.11%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 01:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.65%E -2.27%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.60%E -3.68%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.40%E -2.59%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 01:30
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 01:00
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.92%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 02:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 04:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.06%E -3.77%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.84%E -4.56%K -13.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.44%EV -10.19%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.56%EV -8.08%E -5.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 23:50
ReBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.44%EV -10.19%E -4.30%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.56%EV -8.08%E -5.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-02 01:55
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -3.73%E -2.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.95%E -4.66%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.08%E -5.46%K -16.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -12.85%E -5.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.17%EV -9.32%E -6.39%K -20.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-02 01:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-02 04:41
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%3.0%2026-09-02 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-09-02 04:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-09-02 04:20
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-09-02 04:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-09-02 04:20
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 34.80%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.20%8.0%2026-09-02 04:35
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%8.6%2026-09-02 04:20