Langue:Français
Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prévision 39.46%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.613%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.54%1.65cote équitable
EV -0.708%
Avantage -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jan-Lennard Struff (Local) : 39.46% ; Francisco Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 60.54%. Pour Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.53. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.613%.
Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 13:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |