Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo

Początek: 2026-09-03 15:07 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Jan-Lennard Struff 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

65 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 39.46%2.53kurs godziwy
EV +0.613%
Przewaga +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Francisco Cerundolo (Goście)

Prognoza 60.54%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -0.708%
Przewaga -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Goście): 60.54%. Dla wyniku Jan-Lennard Struff (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.53. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.55, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.613%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (65 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:26
ReBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:49
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 12:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 13:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:31
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:30
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 13:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:24
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (8)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-03 14:55