StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-03 15:07 UTC

Endstand: Jan-Lennard Struff 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

65 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Heim)

Prognose 39.46%2.53faire Quote
EV +0.613%
Vorteil +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.54%1.65faire Quote
EV -0.708%
Vorteil -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jan-Lennard Struff (Heim): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Auswärts): 60.54%. Für Jan-Lennard Struff (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.53. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.55 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.613%.

Wettanbieterquoten (65 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:26
ReBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:49
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 12:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 13:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:31
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:30
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 13:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:24
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-03 14:55