StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 15:07 UTC

Slutresultat: Jan-Lennard Struff 2–3 Francisco Cerundolo

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Hemma)

Prognos 39.46%2.53rättvist odds
EV +0.613%
Fördel +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Cerundolo (Borta)

Prognos 60.54%1.65rättvist odds
EV -0.708%
Fördel -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jan-Lennard Struff (Hemma): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Borta): 60.54%. För Jan-Lennard Struff (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.53. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.55, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.613%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-03 14:45
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-03 14:24
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
DraftKings🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:26
ReBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:49
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 12:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:25
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:31
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:29
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:31
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:40
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:30
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 13:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:29
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:26
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:31
Betsson🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:50
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 14:30
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 13:41
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:24
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 14:26
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 14:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%0.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%0.8%2026-09-03 14:50
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%0.9%2026-09-03 14:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-03 14:55