Idioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Francisco Cerundolo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 39.46%2.53momio equitativo
EV +0.613%
Ventaja +0.240%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%39.31%39.55%41.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.282.402.402.5543.86%41.73%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante)
Predicción 60.54%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.708%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.27%60.69%60.45%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.47%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 39.46%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visitante): 60.54%. Para Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.53. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.55, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.613%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.613%E +0.240%K +0.395%G +0.002% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -0.177%E -0.070%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -7.97%E -5.25%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-02 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.36%E -0.544%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.15%E -0.867%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.54%E -1.03%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.33%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -3.73%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.96%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.70%E -2.39%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:31 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -6.88%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.95%E -3.15%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 13:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.07%E -3.46%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -2.52%E -1.57%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 14:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -9.65%E -4.21%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -0.708%E -0.432%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.04%E -4.40%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 0.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-09-03 14:55 |