Language:English
Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prediction 44.65%2.24fair odd
EV +0.898%
Edge +0.397%
Kelly +0.713%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.93%44.63%44.59%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.102.2649.50%47.38%47.62%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Learner Tien (Visit)
Prediction 55.35%1.81fair odd
EV -0.361%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.452%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.37%55.41%57.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.731.8059.88%58.01%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jakub Mensik (Local): 44.65%; Learner Tien (Visit): 55.35%. For Jakub Mensik (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.898%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.898%E +0.397%K +0.713%G +0.006% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.888%E -0.400%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.361%E -0.201%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.82%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |