Langue:Français
Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Jakub Mensik (Local)
Prévision 44.65%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.898%
Avantage +0.397%
Kelly +0.713%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.93%44.63%44.59%46.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.112.102.2649.50%47.38%47.62%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Learner Tien (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.35%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.361%
Avantage -0.201%
Kelly -0.452%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%55.37%55.41%57.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.721.731.8059.88%58.01%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 44.65% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 55.35%. Pour Jakub Mensik (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.26, soit une espérance positive de +0.898%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.898%E +0.397%K +0.713%G +0.006% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.888%E -0.400%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 01:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 01:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 01:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 01:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-05 23:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.361%E -0.201%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.82%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 02:00 |