Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jakub Mensik (Local)

Prévision 44.50%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.135%
Avantage +0.060%
Kelly +0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.16%44.45%44.53%45.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.02%47.17%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.50%1.80cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -3.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.59%55.55%55.47%57.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.94%58.82%56.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Jakub Mensik (Local) : 44.50% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 55.50%. Pour Jakub Mensik (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.247. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.250, pour une espérance positive de +0.135%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -1.65%E -0.745%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -4.55%E -2.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 08:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:24
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:47
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 04:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:24
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:13
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:13
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.55%E -2.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.32%E -4.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.21%E -4.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:10
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.21%E -4.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.99%E -5.50%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.10%E -6.23%K -16.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-09-04 07:45
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-09-04 08:15
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-09-04 08:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-09-04 08:06