StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 02:07 UTC

Slutresultat: Jakub Mensik 2–3 Learner Tien

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jakub Mensik (Hemma)

Prognos 44.65%2.24rättvist odds
EV +0.898%
Fördel +0.397%
Kelly +0.713%
Tillväxt +0.006%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.93%44.63%44.59%46.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.022.112.102.2649.50%47.38%47.62%44.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Learner Tien (Borta)

Prognos 55.35%1.81rättvist odds
EV -0.361%
Fördel -0.201%
Kelly -0.452%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
53.25%55.37%55.41%57.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.671.721.731.8059.88%58.01%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jakub Mensik (Hemma): 44.65%; Learner Tien (Borta): 55.35%. För Jakub Mensik (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.24. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.26, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.898%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +0.898%E +0.397%K +0.713%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -0.888%E -0.400%K -0.728%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 01:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 02:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.78%E -0.809%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.67%E -1.23%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 01:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-05 23:06
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-05 23:10
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-05 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.00%E -4.17%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.01%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.56%E -4.53%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:30
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 01:44
MyBookie.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:06
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:19
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.24%E -2.45%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-05 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:55
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:24
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 01:50
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.90%E -3.47%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 01:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.25%E -2.97%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.45%E -3.82%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:09
GTbets🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.69%E -3.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -4.79%E -2.78%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:06
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -3.13%E -1.79%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.361%E -0.201%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.68%E -2.12%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-05 23:04
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.48%E -4.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -9.82%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.34%E -3.12%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 01:55
ProphetX◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-09-06 02:00
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-06 02:00
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-09-06 02:00