Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jakub Mensik v Learner Tien

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — ATP US Open

Testa a testa

54 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jakub Mensik (Casa)

Previsione 44.50%2.25quota equa
EV +0.135%
Vantaggio +0.060%
Kelly +0.108%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.16%44.45%44.53%45.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.122.2550.00%47.02%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Learner Tien (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.50%1.80quota equa
EV -2.33%
Vantaggio -1.32%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.59%55.55%55.47%57.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.701.7661.73%58.94%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jakub Mensik (Casa): 44.50%; Learner Tien (Trasferta): 55.50%. Per Jakub Mensik (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.247. 8 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.250, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.135%.

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.135%E +0.060%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:40
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%EV -1.65%E -0.745%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%EV -4.55%E -2.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.44%E -1.98%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 08:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.950%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 07:24
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -3.43%E -1.58%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.87%E -1.79%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 08:20
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 08:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:47
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 08:20
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.32%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 04:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -4.76%E -2.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 08:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 08:15
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.65%E -2.67%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 07:24
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 08:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 07:45
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 07:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:10
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:13
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 08:13
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.21%E -3.68%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 08:20
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:45
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -4.55%E -2.64%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 07:45
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.43%E -3.57%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.32%E -4.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.66%E -3.33%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.28%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.21%E -4.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:10
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -9.21%E -4.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.43%EV -8.99%E -5.48%K -14.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 08:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.99%E -5.50%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.10%E -6.23%K -16.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 08:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-09-04 07:45
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-09-04 08:15
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-09-04 08:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-04 08:15
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-09-04 08:06